The 2024 AdventHealth 400 will take place on Sunday at Kansas Speedway, with the green flag scheduled to drop at 3 p.m. ET. Denny Hamlin joined William Byron as the only two drivers with three wins so far during the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series with a victory at Dover last week. However, Kyle Larson remains on top of the NASCAR standings through 11 races, as he holds a 15-point advantage over Martin Truex Jr. 

Larson is the 4-1 favorite in the 2024 AdventHealth 400 odds and he's followed by Hamlin (9-2), Tyler Reddick (6-1), Truex (15-2) and Byron (8-1). Before scouring the 2024 AdventHealth 400 starting lineup and making any 2024 NASCAR at Kansas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2024 AdventHealth 400 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Our proven projection model has simulated the 2024 Wurth 400 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model was red-hot during the 2023 season, nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). The model correctly predicted winners in two playoff races as well, with Ryan Blaney scoring a 12-1 payout at Talladega and Larson winning at 9-2 in Las Vegas. 

It also called its first victory of the 2024 season with Larson winning again in Las Vegas for a 21-5 payout then predicted a Denny Hamlin's wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. It impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021 too. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 18 winners since 2021 and hit nine last year alone! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on NASCAR at Kansas and released its projections.

The model knows Kansas Speedway first appeared on the NASCAR schedule in 2001 and it's been hosting two races annually since 2011. The 1.5-mile tri-oval features an asphalt surface with progressive banking from 17-20 degrees bottom to top in the turns. Toyota has dominated in Kansas during the Next-Gen Car era, winning all four races held there since the new car was introduced in 2022. Hamlin won the spring race in Kansas last year and is now a four-time winner there while Tyler Reddick scored his first Kansas victory in the fall race.

For the 2024 AdventHealth 400, we can tell you the model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he's a 20-1 longshot in the latest 2024 NASCAR at Kansas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Martin Truex Jr., who is second in points and one of the Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2024 AdventHealth 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting TWO OTHER drivers with 2024 NASCAR at Kansas odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2024 AdventHealth 400, and which EPIC longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 18 winners, including three already this year!